Results tagged ‘ Adrian Sampson ’

2013 Expectations: Mid Level Prospects

Last offseason I did a 15 part preview of the Pirates upcoming seasons focusing on what I expected to see out of various positions at the major league levels, the minor levels, the coaching staff and the front office. The series went over fairly well with my readers so I have decided to bring it back for a second year. I’m not sure how many parts this year’s series will include but I will do my best to cover every key player I can think of.

Top Hitting Prospects

The top 5 hitting prospects in the Pirates system all are expected to begin to 2013 season in either A or A+ ball. Dilson Herrera should skip over short season ball and start the year in A ball and Josh Bell should join him there as he is expected to repeat the level. Herrera is a popular break out candidate for 2013 and certainly has the tools to do. He is coming off a very solid 2012 season in rookie ball in which he displayed a good all around offensive game. I’m expecting a very good season from Herrera and while I don’t think he will necessary break out I don’t expect him to do anything to hurt his status. Joining him in A ball will be Bell who missed most of last season with a knee injury. At this point it is difficult to know just what to expect from Bell but a good start is I wasn’t to see him healthy and hitting for power. I’m thinking his overall line might not sparkle being essentially his first professional season but if those two things are present it should be a decent year for Bell. At the A+ level the Pirates will have the two top hitting prospects in Alen Hanson and Gregory Polanco and also last year’s supplemental pick Barrett Barnes. Barnes had a very solid debut in A- last season and will be looking to continue it at a much more age appropriate level. It wouldn’t surprise me to see him struggle with the jump but we shall see. Hanson broke out last season and has a tremendous bat for a middle infielder but his defensive game needs a lot of work if he is to remain at shortstop. The Pirates will likely have him focus on improving defensively which I think might end up hurting his overall offensive numbers this season in particular his power. Going step for step with Hanson last season in A ball was Gregory Polanco. Polanco’s season last year was just as impressive as Hanson’s and in fact I think it was slightly better. Polanco will start the season in A+ but if he is successful I expect the Pirates to give him a mid season promotion to AA. My instinct tells me this will be another big year for Polanco so that isn what I am expecting.

Top Pitching Prospects

The Pirates middle levels aren’t just chalked full of hitting prospects as there are 4 top pitching prospects also expected to play at one of the A levels this season. The only one expected to pitch in A+ though is Nicholas Kingham. Kingham had a rough start to his 2012 campaign and finished the season with a poor ERA but he improved greatly as the year progress, finishing strong and posting solid peripherals. He probably doesn’t have the ace upside of the top pitching prospects at the A ball level but he is father along developmentally and looks like he could become a good middle of the rotation inning eater. I think Kingham will take a significant step forward this season. At the A ball level the Pirates are likely to have Luis Heredia and Clayton Holmes and may also have Tyler Glasnow pitching at the level. Heredia is the top prospect here as he put up excellent numbers in A- last season despite being younger than most of his competition. The Pirates will likely continue to proceed slowly with Heredia but I suspect we will continue to see good things from him and I expect him to start missing a few more bats this season. Along with Heredia in A- Clayton Holmes was putting up excellent numbers but unlike Heredia he comes with a couple warning signs. One his delivery is very awkward looking at two he struggled with control at times last season while not striking out many batters. I expect the jump to A level is going to be a big test for him and I think he’ll struggle. Glasnow pitched in rookie ball last year with just a taste of A- at the end of the year. He was dominate in rookie ball and did fairly well in short season ball as well. The Pirates may opt to keep him in short season but my expectation is they will hold him back in extended spring training and then give him a shot at A ball. I actually think he’ll do quite well at whichever level he pitches and I could see him shooting up some prospect lists.

Other Hitting Prospects

In addition to the top level hitters the Pirates have a good assortment of the next level of hitters ready to play in the middle levels. At the A+ level the talent is a little light but Jose Osuna is a very solid 1st base prospect and could be on the verge of a breakout. Lost in the hype surrounding Hanson and Polanco was Osuna’s very solid season in A ball. He didn’t put up the show stopping numbers but it was still a very good season. Osuna is limited defensively to 1st base so his bat is going to have to carry him but he has shown the power potential which suggests it just might. I’m not expecting a full breakout from Osuna but I think he’ll once again post a good line while going largely unnoticed in 2013. In A ball the talent is a little deeper with Wyatt Mathisen, Jin-De Jhang, Eric Wood, Max Moroff and Willy Garcia all having a chance to start there. Mathisen is the headliner of the group and is considered by some to be the Pirates 5th or 6th best hitting prospect. He is an athletic young catcher who is learning the position and has a good solid bat. Jhang split catching duties with Mathisen in rookie ball last season and had a very good season there. It is possible the Pirates choose to split the two up but I think they will both be promoted to A ball and will continue to split the catching duty. Wood and Moroff also played in rookie ball last season manning 3B and SS respectively. Wood had a surprising debut after being a relatively unknown 6th round selection and Moroff showed why the Pirates went overslot to sign him after the Appel signing fell through. Garcia played at A ball last season and wasn’t horrible but he was inconsistent which makes me believe the Pirates will start him back at the level. All the players in this group are candidates to break out and become top hitting prospects. The chances of all of them doing so are slim but I expect at least 1 or 2 of them will do so.

Other Pitching Prospects

The Pirates are lacking a little in the middle levels in the second tier of pitching prospects. Only three names Robby Rowland, Zach Von Rosenberg and Adrian Sampson really catch my eye. Rowland and Von Rosenberg are likely to begin the year in A+ ball. Rowland was acquired last offseason when the Diamondbacks traded him to the Pirates in exchange for the rights to Rule V selection Brett Lorin. Rowland was an underwhelming prospect but he put up a solid season in A ball last year to get on the map. He is one to watch although I think he is going to struggle in the jump to A+. Von Rosenberg is actually one of my under the radar breakout picks. He was drafted by the Pirates in the 6th round of the 2009 draft and he was the most high profile of the large lot of high school arms the Pirates went overslot for to sign. To date Von Rosenberg hasn’t been that impressive as he repeated A ball last year and while his numbers were decent they weren’t exactly what one would hope to see. The Pirates are likely to try him at A+ and I’m going to predict he will have a good season and reemerge on the prospect map. The other pitcher Sampson was drafted by the Pirates last season and sent to A- ball where he pitched extremely well and was one of the few pitchers at that level to actually have a high strike out rate. I’m not really sure what to expect from him in 2013 but I think he has a chance to develop into a good pitching prospect.

Prospects To Watch

I already picked a few of the middle tier prospects who I think have a strong chance of breaking out. I didn’t say which hitters I’d specifically lean towards but if pushed I’d probably go with Jin-De Jhang and max Moroff and on the pitching side I’m expecting a big step up from Von Rosenberg. Digging a little deeper though I see a few under the radar names who could emerge as quality prospects. On the pitching side two players I like are Dalton Friend and Joely Rodriguez. Friend was drafted by the Pirates last year in the 12th round and looks like just a relief pitcher but his stuff is fairly good and he had success last year in A- so I think the Pirates will push him to A+ to see if he has success there and I’m expecting him to rather well and take on the look of a good relief prospect. Rodriguez has been underwhelming so far in his pro career but showed some positive signs in A- last year. I’d be a fool to say I’m expecting a breakout but I like some of what I saw and if the Pirates push him to A ball in 2013 I think he could put up a nice season and become the Pirates second best international pitching prospect (behind Heredia); that in itself won’t be much of an accomplishment but I do think he’ll raise his stalk this year and take on the look of a fringe prospect instead of an organizational arm. On the hitting side under the radar guys are a little harder to find because the Pirates have a lot of top prospects or second tier prospects filling spots. In all honesty I really don’t see too much there but one player I like who I think could surprise if he can get the playing time is Taylor Lewis. Lewis struggled last year in A ball and might repeat the level and if he does he should have a reasonable chance of getting some time in center field but the Pirates might push him to A+ ball and they do he’ll probably serve as a 4th outfielder there. Lewis came from a small school so he probably needs a little more development time than your typical prospect but the talent is there and given a chance I think he could turn himself into a nice prospect this season.

Prospect Recap: Part XIV

Top Prospects 21-25

25. Robby Rowland: The Pirates acquired Robby Rowland before the start of the 2012 season in exchange for Brett Lorin, whom the Diamondbacks selected from the Pirates in the Rule V draft. Rowland was a 3rd round high school selection in the 2010 draft. In 2010 the Diamondbacks had Rowland make his professional debut in the pioneer league, an advanced rookie league. He got hit around a little bit but the league is known for being offensively friendly so overall his numbers weren’t that bad. Before the 2011 season the Diamondbacks had Rowland change his throwing motion and then had him repeat the advanced rookie level. The results were awful as he was hit around again but much worse this time. The Pirates acquired him before 2012 and sent him to extended spring training where they worked with him to get him back to his regular throwing motion, something the Diamondbacks had already started. He debuted for the Pirates at the A level in mid May and pitched well the whole season being the Pirates best starter at that level. Rowland showed very good command but was unable to miss many bats. As far as his arsenal is concerned he has a low 90s fastball and a couple secondary pitches highlighted by a good splitter. The splitter gives him a high ground out rate which compensates slightly for the lack of strike outs. Rowland will be 21 next season and should be in the A+ level. He is going to start having to miss some bats to move up the prospect ladder but the potential is there.

24. Max Moroff: Moroff was drafted by the Pirates in the 16th round of this past draft. He was announced as a shortstop but had played every infield position for his high school team. The Pirates liked him enough that they gave him 300K to sign after Appel refused to sign. He got off to a late start but once he made his debut in rookie ball it became apparent what the Pirates saw in him. Moroff was the everyday shortstop and posted a 343/471/433 line, good for a .904 OPS. He showed outstanding plate discipline and struck out only 11 times. Moroff is a decent defender at short; he possess a good arm but there are questions about whether he has the range to stick at the position. His speed is solid but nothing special. Moroff’s real calling card is his good plate discipline and line drive bat. In the short amount of time he played in rookie ball he showed off that advanced approach at the plate and it should likely be enough to skip him straight to full season ball next year. Moroff will likely be a popular break out choice in the Pirates system headed in to 2013.

23. Willy Garcia: Garcia was signed by the Pirates as an international free agent in 2010. The Pirates gave him a significant sized bonus of 280K showing they believed he had a lot of talent. Garcia’s most notable tool is his raw power but he also is a fairly good defensive outfielder and has a strong arm. He is not as fast as a lot of a Latin American outfield prospects but he runs fairly well. On the down side he is an aggressive swinger who doesn’t like to take a lot of pitches. Garcia debuted in the DSL in 2010 at the age of 17. He did fairly well there but his numbers didn’t stand out, they were just average. The Pirates still brought him to the states in 2011 where he started out at the rookie level. He had an up and down season there, once again struggling with plate discipline but he finished the year with solid numbers and was even given a promotion to A- near the end of the season. Like a lot of prospects the Pirates promote from rookie ball to A- near the end of the season the Pirates started Garcia off in A ball in 2012. Once again he struggled with plate discipline but this time it came with him showing some of that raw power by blasting 18 HR. He once again ended the season with a solid but not spectacular stat line. Garcia hasn’t stood out an any level but he has been holding his own despite being young for each level. He will only be 20 next season and could play at either A or A+ but if he continues to show off that raw power and makes even a slight improvement in his plate discipline Garcia has the raw talent necessary to quickly shoot up this list.

22. Gift Ngoepe: Ngoepe was signed by the Pirates in 2008 out of South Africa. He was the first black South African to ever sign a pro contract with a baseball team. At the time his signing earned a lot of attention and looked more like a good story and a publicity stunt but the Pirates claimed it was a baseball move. Fast forward 4 years and it is certainly clear that Ngoepe is no mere publicity stunt but rather a true prospect. The Pirates sent him to rookie ball in 2009 and he did fairly well showing decent plate discipline and playing solid defense. In 2010 the Pirates sent him to A- and he looked to be making progress with the bat but he slumped near the end of the season when opponents started throwing him primarily offspeed pitches. The Pirates still felt highly enough of Ngoepe to push him to A ball the following season. He started off hot there, showing good plate discipline, cutting his K rate and even surprisingly showing a little bit of power. Unfortunately he suffered a hammate injury early on which caused him to basically miss the rest of the season. Still despite only getting 85 AB at the A level the Pirates pushed the raw Ngoepe up to A+. He once again started struggling with strike outs but he did manage to keep his walk rate up and even surprisingly hit 9 HR. However Ngoepe isn’t a prospect because of his bat but because of his glove and once again he was great with that. He was named the best defensive shortstop in the league and his glove work was good enough to have him crack Baseball America’s top 20 prospects for that league. Ngoepe has a lot of work to do with his bat and even on the base paths but his terrific glove work should keep him around a while and with a promotion to AA possibly on the horizon he is worth watching.

21. Adrian Sampson: Sampson was drafted by the Pirates in the 5th round of this past draft. Sampson was drafted out of a Junior College but he had offers to go to Oregon both going into next year and out of high school. Sampson signed for basically slot money right after the draft and almost immediately began pitching for at the A- level. He was overshadowed there by two dazzling performances by higher rated prospects but he pitched extremely well there and even managed to miss a few bats with a 9.1 K/9. Sampson has a low 90s fastball which he can get up into the mid 90s and compliments it with a good curve and a work in progress change-up. He also has good command of his pitches. The most encouraging sign fo Sampson was his ability to get strike outs at the A- level as that is something that very few other Pirates pitchers did at the level. Sampson will be 21 years old next season so he is still relatively young but the Pirates will probably not be afraid to move quickly with him meaning he should start the season off in A ball and if he does well he could be quickly promoted to A+. Sampson will be another popular breakout choice headed into the 2013 season.

Top Prospects By Position

Catchers

1) Tony Sanchez

2) Wyatt Mathisen

3) Jin-De jhang

4) Ramon Cabrera

5) Jacob Stallings

1st Base

1) Alex Dickerson

2) Matt Curry

3) Jose Osuna

4) Justin Howard

5) Edwin Espinal

2nd Base

1) Brock Holt

2) Dilson Herrera

3) Dan Gamache

4) Jarek Cunningham

5) Jodaneli Carvajal

3rd Base

1) Eric Wood

2) Kevin Ross

3) Eric Avila

4) Stefan Welch

5) D.J. Crumlich

Shortstop

1) Alen Hanson

2) Gift Ngoepe

3) Max Moroff

4) Gustavo Nunez

5) Drew Maggi

Outfield

1) Gregory Polanco

2) Josh Bell

3) Barrett Barnes

4) Willy Garcia

5) Mel Rojas

6) Adalberto Santos

7) Tyler Gaffney

8) Elvis Escobar

9) Harold Ramirez

10) Quincy Latimore

11) Andrew Lambo

12) Candon Myles

13) Dan Grovatt

14) Jesus Vasquez

15) Luis Urena

Upper Level (AA and AAA) Pitchers

1) Gerrit Cole

2) Jeff Locke

3) Justin Wilson

4) Kyle McPherson

5) Bryan Morris

6) Victor Black

7) Duke Welker

8) Phillip Irwin

9) Brandon Cumpton

10) Jeff Inman

Middle Level (A and A+) Pitchers

1) Jameson Taillon

2) Nicholas Kingham

3) Robby Rowland

4) Casey Sadler

5) Zach Von Rosenberg

6) Jason Townsend

7) Zach Dodson

8) Porfirio Lopez

9) Nathan Kilcrease

10) Ryan Hafner

Lower Level (Rookie and A-) Pitcher

1) Luis Heredia

2) Clay Holmes

3) Tyler Glasnow

4) Adrian Sampson

5) Jonathan Sandfort

6) Joely Rodriguez

7) Pat Ludwig

8) Jackson Lodge

9) Dalton Friend

10) Andy Otamendi

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