Allie, Sanchez and Draft Thoughts
Lots of news in Pirate world recently. We have big time prospects, Sanchez and Allie making big time moves and we have the 2012 Rule IV MLB draft today.
As everyone probably knows by now Tony Sanchez was promoted to AAA last night. I imagine the general thought is he hasn’t done enough to earn the promotion and with a just a cursory glance at his season numbers, .277/.370/.390, one would probably be right but Sanchez has been heating up as late hitting for a .364/.417/.545 line in his last 10 AA games. The Pirates have no solution for the catching position in 2013 and beyond, Sanchez needs to show this organization what he is capable so the time for a push was now. Hopefully he can carry his hot streak over to AAA and once again become our catcher of the future.
There are a couple ripple effects to this move; first it fills the AAA roster with 25 players and oddly enough 4 catchers. The surplus of catchers at AAA likely mean additional moves will be made. At the AA level Ramon Cabrera, a interesting catching prospect himself, now becomes the normal starter which will hopefully help him pick up his game. In AAA Jose Morales who just passed on his June 1st opt out date now becomes the backup catcher, something I can’t think he would like too much. Kris Watts most likely becomes expendable from the AAA roster and will either be sent to AA or extended spring training. The other catcher on the AAA roster, Eric Fryer, appears to now be the #3 catcher on the depth chart and will likely only catch sparingly this season unless an injury occurs. Fryer does have flexibility though as he can also play 1B, 3B and the OF.
Stetson Allie’s big move is not a promotion or demotion or even a move to the bullpen but rather a move to 3B. Coming out of the draft Allie was considered a good 3B prospect but not 2nd round material and definitely not 2.25 million dollar signing bonus material. There is no other way to slice it, this is bad news for the Pirates.
Allie has a great arm and it was hoped his control problems could be reeled in but it appears as if the Pirates have now given up on that. All is not lost though Allie was considered one of the best high school power hitters in the 2010 draft and was considered a 3rd – 5th round talent as a 3B. Allie goes from being one of the best pure stuff pitching prospects in the Pirates system to one of the best pure power prospects in the system. If his game can translate it isn’t a horrible trade off. For what it is worth Allie was considered a big power bat with plate discipline issues when he was drafted.
I’ll update my prospect rankings after the draft and I honestly have no clue what I will do with Allie. He will of course fall, definitely out of my top 10 but will probably appear in my top 20 hitting prospects. I can tell you this he is in my opinion currently the Pirates best 3B prospect in the system.
Now as for the draft tonight there has been a lot of talk of Max Fried emerging to form a clear top 8 in the draft. I’m not particularly high on Fried but I think he would be decent value for the Pirates at 8 however his value to the Pirates may be more who he may push down rather than them selecting him. It is a rather wide held belief the Padres are interested in him at #7 and that means if they take him and the Mariners take Correra at #3 (also a rumored possibility) there is a very good chance Zunino would be available to the Pirates at #8 and that would be a steal. I’m hoping the first 8 picks work out something like this:
If the Pirates land Zunino or really any of those 8 guys or Giolito I will be quite happy with their 1st round pick. There are a couple of other players I wouldn’t mind in that slot (I discussed that earlier) but for now I’m hoping they wind up with one of those 9 and my preference is Almora or Zunino. It also is worth noting the Pirates have the 45th pick tonight as well thanks to the Twins signing Ryan Doumit. There are a few names I am hoping to fall there but we are now so late into the draft we just need to see how things play out.
I will try to post my feeling about the Pirates two selections tonight after they are made. A reminder the draft starts at 7 PM and our 2nd place Bucs get a day off before taking on the 1st place Reds.